Noah points out some of the problems:
- Plans do not cost so much because of fringe benefits or because unions demand extensive plans. Instead, geography, occupation, and age all add to the cost of plans.
- Initially the tax will only affect 3% of all plans. But over time because the tax is designed to be indexed or adjusted to the Consumer Price Index (which measures inflation), while medical costs go up at 1.5 to 2 times the Index, more and more plans will be fit by the tax. That means the middle class will progressively get hit by the tax more and more as medical prices exceed inflation and healthcare insurance plans cost more.
- Doctors and hospitals (the major healthcare providers) have no incentive under this tax to utilize fewer services. Noah argues that if insurers spend less to cut healthcare plan costs and doctors keep spending to provide services, patients will find themselves trapped between paying out of pocket for more services and getting less covered by their downsized plans.
Michael Shusterman is the Editor in Chief of TuftScope (2009 - 2010).